Wednesday, March 5, 2008

For the Dems, It's Sunshine and Rain

That the race to the Democratic nomination is between a black man and a woman is a good thing, right? I guess. That this thing is only going to get uglier, however, is not. The intensity of this race is, of course, thrilling, but it may end up ripping the Democratic party at its seams. That wasn't so much true before last night when Obama had all the momenutm. But now that this thing is in fact a dead heat, what are the superdelegates to do? What is Howard Dean to do about Florida and Michigan whose Governor's have produced a joint statement demanding that thier delegates be seated?

Both HRC and Obama have seen sunny days and rainy days during this primary season, and last night it began to rain on Obama's head again. It's hard to see how all of this can have a happy ending. I imagine that those superdelegates are frozen now. Obama has the following, more states and more delegates. Clinton has won the big states. How do they choose? It seems that the only way to lessen the blow of all this is to have that dream ticket, but I get the feeling that these two can hardly stand each other and that makes the dream ticket look less than realistic.

Obama finds himself in a awkward position. He's run his campaign as that of new, not old, politics. But the scrutiny that everyone has been calling for has reared its head, and I imagine that this scrutiny and Rush Limbaugh helped HRC get those victories last night. And Hillary has greatly sharpened her attacks, too. And they'll only get sharper.

So, what does Obama do? Can he go negative? No, that would undermine his entire message, but because he can't win by losing he does have to find a way to get tougher. Firing that advisor who sent that memo to the Canadians is a start. Distancing himself from Rezko and Farrakahn won't hurt either. He should also make HRC prove this foreign policy experience that she asserts. When the phone rings at 3am would she react presidentially, or would she just cry?.

Maybe a debate in Pennsylvania is in order. I don't know, but she's throwing the kitchen sink at him, and, to get this dark cloud from over his head, back at her he's got to throw the refrigerator.

No comments: