Monday, February 18, 2008

Clinton Campaign Deathwatch

Since my Clinton dropout prediction, much has be made about the resurgent abilities of the woman who so easily bends at the whim of a poll, who has no clear stances and is so easily malleable as to be likened to a wind-vane. Sure, if she panders just enough, she brings hispanic children up on stage, continues her deflating rhetoric about America's many problems, then surely she'll rebound, right?

I'm anxious to move on to more substantive political issues, but the horse-race talk persists, and so I digress:

As for Texas, well, there goes that idea... Tied within the margin of error, 2(!) weeks out. And trends look bad for her.

Even if she eeks it out in Texas, the delegate counts will be even and she'd still be behind Obama (NBC News has the pledged delegate count, the one that matters because superdelegates HAVEN'T VOTED YET, at 1116-985 Obama, and Realclearpolitics has it 1134-996 pledged for Obama)

Certainly she has plans for the country, like she had plans for after Super Tuesday... oops. Well, at least we can count on her not to change her position, you know, knowing where she stands...oops.

But she could seat Florida and Michigan, right? Even though she was the only one on the ballot in MI, and no one campaigned in Florida, the vote should count, right? Well, her ace delegate counter didn't think so last summer. The Rules are the rules. Everyone agreed to them, and Hillary is included in everyone. Anyone who cries and whines about the rules is probably losing. And so, again, the Clinton campaign grinds to an inevitable disaster, hopefully sooner than later for the sake of America and the Democratic party.

You see, she's not really much of a politician, just a poll-tested robot programmed by Mark Penn, Maggie Grunwald, and other slimy creatures. And America can do much better.


One more thing: Just go ahead and check inTrade... If you believe in free markets, you'll love the market of prediction. How accurate? Debatable, I guess, but an amusing look at the future.

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